Based on the India Today-CVoter exit poll, the Congress and its allies are expecting a big showing in the Haryana Assembly election. There may be a close race in Jammu & Kashmir, with the Congress-National Conference coalition having the upper hand.
Basis Of The J&K Exit Polls
The exit poll for Jammu and Kashmir by India Today and CVoter is based on 20,013 interviews conducted across all 90 Assembly seats. For the exit poll in Haryana, 13,817 interviews were conducted across all 90 seats. Health alert: Exit polls may be inaccurate.
The Congress, which received 31 seats in the 2019 polls, is expected to gain a full majority in Haryana with 50–58 members in the 90-member Assembly. The BJP, which is in power and hoping to win three straight terms in the state, is predicted to secure 20–28 seats, down from 40 in 2019.
The Exit Polls 2024 Stats
According to exit poll statistics, the Jannayak Janta Party (JJP), which won 10 seats in the previous election but is predicted to receive 0–2 seats this time, is negatively impacted by the Congress’s good performance in the state.
The Congress-National Conference combination is predicted to win 40–48 of the 90 Assembly seats in Jammu & Kashmir. The People’s Democratic Party (PDP), led by Mehbooba Mufti, may pick up 6–12 seats, while the BJP is expected to win 27–32 seats. Six to eleven seats could go to independent candidates and other parties.
Mehbooba Mufti’s party chose to run on its own; however, the Congress, National Conference, and People’s Democratic Party are all members of the national opposition INDIA group. The PDP’s decision might not be successful, nevertheless, as exit poll data indicates that the party’s total number of seats could drop from 28 in the last election to 6–12 seats.
With the exit poll projecting the saffron party to win 27–31 seats, the BJP is expected to maintain its solid hold on the 43 seats in the Jammu area. The PDP might win 0–2 seats, while the Congress–National Conference combo might win 11–15 seats.
A Bjp Setback
The exit poll forecasts a good showing for the Congress-National Conference coalition on the 47 seats in the Kashmir Valley, with 29–33 seats, an increase from 16 seats in the 2014 election. This time, the PDP, which took home 25 seats in the Valley in 2014, might win six to ten seats.
This time, the BJP, which did not perform well in the Valley during the 2014 election, might also make an impression.
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