According to exit polls for the Lok Sabha elections in 2024, Narendra Modi is expected to win a record-breaking third term as prime minister. More than 350 seats are expected to be won by the BJP-led NDA, guaranteeing them a commanding majority in the upcoming legislative session. With this win, Modi would become the second prime minister to serve three consecutive terms, following Jawaharlal Nehru.
Almost one billion eligible voters participated in the world’s largest democratic exercise, the general election in India. Beginning on April 19, there were seven phases to the six-week election. The government will be formed by the party or coalition with at least 272 seats in the lower house, which consists of 543 members.
The INDIA Bloc Failure And BJP’s Gain
It is anticipated that the INDIA bloc, a coalition of several opposition parties including the Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party, will not live up to the hype. Exit polls indicate that the coalition will win fewer than 150 seats, a substantial decrease from the 285 seats that Congress leader Mallikarjun Kharge had anticipated.
It seems that Prime Minister Modi’s efforts in the southern states have been fruitful. Notable victories are anticipated for the BJP, including the acquisition of Kerala’s first Lok Sabha seat. It is anticipated that the party will get more votes throughout the area, reaching 27% in Kerala.
BJP Might Rule Exit Polls?
There is a setback for the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) in West Bengal. According to exit polls, the TMC may lose seats to 19 and the BJP may gain 22 seats in 2019, up from 18 seats in 2019. This is a serious obstacle for Mamata Banerjee’s political party. The people in the nation’s capital are expected to firmly reject the partnership between Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party and the Congress. As a result, the BJP is expected to win all seven seats in New Delhi.
It is anticipated that the BJP will continue to hold sway in the states where Hindi is spoken. The NDA is predicted to win about 70 of the 80 seats in Uttar Pradesh. Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, and Haryana are anticipated to have comparable dominance.
In Bihar and Rajasthan, the NDA is expected to hold onto a majority, but the BJP is expected to lose a few seats in both states. In comparison to the last election, it is anticipated that the BJP-JD(U) combination will gain less seats in Bihar. It is expected that the Congress will gain some ground in Rajasthan, but the BJP will still win a majority.
BJP’s Strong Lead In The Exit Polls
The exit polls indicate that the BJP will make major gains in Odisha. The party hopes to challenge the dominance of Biju Janata Dal (BJD), led by Naveen Patnaik, by almost doubling the number of seats it held in the previous election.
| Pollster | NDA | INDIA | Others |
| ABP News-C Voter | 353-383 | 152-182 | 4-12 |
| Dainik Bhaskar | 281-350 | 145-201 | 33-49 |
| Jan Ki Baat | 362-392 | 141-161 | 10-20 |
| News Nation | 342-378 | 153-189 | 21-23 |
| TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat | 342 | 166 | 35 |
| Times Now-ETG | 358 | 152 | 33 |
| Republic Bharat-Matrize | 353-368 | 118-133 | 43-48 |
| India Today-Axis My India | 361-401 | 131-166 | 8-20 |
| India News-D-Dynamics | 371 | 125 | 47 |
| Republic TV- PMARQ | 359 | 154 | 30 |
| India TV-CNX | 371-401 | 109-139 | 28-38 |
| News24-Today’s Chanakya | 400 | 107 | 36 |
Despite differing estimates, all exit polls show a clear majority for the BJP-led NDA. As a result, guaranteed Modi’s leadership for an additional term. It is routinely predicted that the NDA will win more than 350 seats, but it will not surpass the 400-seat threshold. The final results on June 4 will validate how accurate these forecasts were.
What do you think the results will be? Make sure to share your opinions with us in the comments down below. Your response is much awaited!
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