The defending champion UConn, Alabama, a team that made its first trip to the national semifinals, and Purdue and NC State—two teams that made their first Final Four visits since the early 1980s—are the teams who competed in the NCAA Tournament Final Four 2024. The festivities will take place at Phoenix’s State Farm Arena. Purdue versus NC State (+9) kicked off the 2024 NCAA Tournament Final Four schedule at 6:09 p.m. ET, while UConn took on Alabama (+11.5) at 8:49 p.m. ET.
Calculating The Odds: NCAA 2024
As the 11th-seeded Wolfpack was tied for the lowest-seeded team to make the Final Four, NC State became the 2024 March Madness Cinderella. When making 2024 NCAA Tournament selections or Final Four parlays, many bore in mind that the last five 11-seeds all lost in this round.
Ten thousand simulations of each Division I college basketball game were run by the model. On all top-rated college basketball picks going back to the previous season, it entered the 2024 NCAA Sweet 16 round on a 152-109 roll, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It had also predicted 13 Sweet 16 teams this year and has a solid 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Big returns have been seen by those that follow.
The model has now calculated the odds for this Saturday’s NCAA Tournament Final Four 2024, releasing the over-under and against-the-spread predictions for both games. Combining these selections would pay more than 13-1.
Final Four Predictions
The model is supporting Overall, NC State vs. Purdue scored over 146 points. Only two seasons have passed since these teams’ last meeting, and Zach Edey and both coaches are still in place. The over-under for that match was 144.5, and both teams easily exceeded it with 154 points in total. When facing other strong offenses this season, as both teams will face in this matchup, the games tend to be high-scoring affairs. When these clubs play opponents who average more than 72 points per game, the Over is a combined 18-10. Both teams have an average of over 76 points per game.
Due to the defensive shortcomings of both sides, the attacks ought to light up the scoreboard. There is just one ACC team that had more fouls than NC State, and that club is Purdue, which is ranked 10th in the country in terms of made free throws per game. In contrast, the Boilermakers’ forced turnovers per game rank 349th out of 362 Division I universities. As a result, DJ Burns—the only player in thirty years to make the Final Four, averaging at least 18.3 points on at least 67.4% shooting—will have more touches, and the Wolfpack will have more possessions. The model has overhit in more than 60% of simulations, with the corresponding offenses ahead of the defenses.
Follow Us:
Youtube | Google News |
Igniteds is on YouTube; click here to subscribe for the latest videos and updates.
